Real Estate

Zisler Capital Partners CEO Randall Zisler on the continued troubles in the commercial real-estate market.

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Aug. 10 (Bloomberg) — The collapse in commercial real estate is preventing Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke from declaring the economy and financial markets are healed.

Property values have fallen 35 percent since October 2007, according to Moodys Investors Service. Thats making it tough for owners to refinance almost $165 billion of mortgages for skyscrapers, shopping malls and hotels this year, pressuring companies such as Maguire Properties Inc., the largest office landlord in downtown Los Angeles, to put buildings up for sale.

Negative Fundamental

Demand for commercial space comes from employment and the income generated by that employment, said University of Pennsylvania Professor Joseph Gyourko, director of the Wharton Schools Samuel Zell and Robert Lurie Real Estate Center in Philadelphia. Mounting job losses are a really significant negative fundamental, signaling that conditions are going to be tough for the industry for a while, he said.

That may spill over into mounting losses at some banks. Forty-seven percent of loans at the 7,000-plus smaller U.S. lenders are in commercial real estate, compared with 17 percent for the biggest banks, according to New York-based Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

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Each month, This Month in Real Estate provides expert opinion and analysis on real estate trends across the nation. The aim of the consumer-oriented segments is to provide real information on real estate.

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We break down if investors missed a chance to get in on the floor for commercial real estate.

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Segment of The Powell Perspective featuring Thomas J. Powell and entitled “Commercial Real Estate Update.” Please visit Mr. Powell’s website, www.thepowellperspective.com to view previous Powell Perspectives and to download Mr. Powell’s free e-book, “Real Estate Risk and Retirement Planning Pt. 1.” Thank you for watching and please feel free to contact Mr. Powell at tom.powell@powellperspective.com.

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